International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Raiffeisen Arena
  • Marko Arnautovic 7' yellowcard
  • Patrick Wimmer 10' goal
  • Christoph Baumgartner 13' goal
  • Stefan Posch 71' yellowcard
  • Konrad Laimer 83' yellowcard
  • goal Strahinja Pavlovic 35'
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Mitrovic 72'

Austria vs Serbia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 26, 2024 7.45pm
Austria 6 - 1 Turkey

Serbia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 25, 2024 5.00pm
Cyprus 0 - 1 Serbia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Serbia win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Austria in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Austria.

Result

Austria 41.1% (-0.98)
Draw 25.64% (+0.15)
Serbia 33.26% (+0.84)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.94% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.96% (-0.39)
Under 2.5 49.03% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 28.89% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 71.11% (+0.36)
Over 4.5 13.91% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 86.09% (+0.25)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5 76.35% (-0.66)
Under 0.5 23.64% (+0.66)
Over 1.5 42.26% (-0.96)
Under 1.5 57.74% (+0.96)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5 71.95% (+0.34)
Under 0.5 28.04% (-0.34)
Over 1.5 36.3% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 63.7% (-0.43)

Score analysis

Austria 41.1%
Draw 25.63%
Serbia 33.26%
Austria
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.16)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 41.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 6.63% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.63%
Serbia
0-1 @ 8.43% (+0.22)
1-2 @ 7.73% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 5.36% (+0.19)
1-3 @ 3.28% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.36% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.27% (+0.10)
1-4 @ 1.04% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 33.26%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Oct 6, 2017 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Guido Burgstaller 25' goal
  • Marko Arnautovic 76' goal
  • Louis Schaub 89' goal
  • goal Luka Milivojevic 11'
  • goal Nemanja Matic 83'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Oct 9, 2016 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Aleksandar Mitrovic 6' goal
  • Aleksandar Mitrovic 23' goal
  • Dusan Tadic 74' goal
  • goal Marcel Sabitzer 16'
  • goal Marc Janko 62'