Friendlies 1

Jun 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Raiffeisen Arena

Austria
2 - 1
Serbia

Wimmer (10'), Baumgartner (13')
Arnautovic (7'), Posch (71'), Laimer (83')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Pavlovic (35')
Mitrovic (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Austria and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Austria 6-1 Turkey
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	0	0	0
2	Netherlands	0	0	0
3	Poland	0	0	0
4	Austria	0	0	0

Serbia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Cyprus 0-1 Serbia
Monday, March 25 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	0	0	0
2	Denmark	0	0	0
3	Serbia	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Serbia win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Austria in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Austria.

Result
Austria	Draw	Serbia
41.1% ( -0.97)	25.64% ( 0.14)	33.26% ( 0.83)

Both teams to score 54.94% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.96% (

-0.39)

49.03% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.89% (

-0.35)

71.11% (

0.36)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.35% (

-0.65)

23.64% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.26% (

-0.95)

57.74% (

0.95)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.95% (

0.34)

28.04% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.3% (

0.43)

63.7% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Austria 41.1%

Serbia 33.26%

Draw 25.63%

Austria	Draw	Serbia
1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.1%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.63%	0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.26%