Friendlies 1

Mar 25, 2024 at 5pm UK

Tsirion Athlitiko Kentro

Cyprus
0 - 1
Serbia

Correia (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Milinkovic-Savic (7')
Masovic (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Cyprus and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cyprus

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Cyprus 1-1 Latvia
Thursday, March 21 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	8	20	21
2	Scotland	8	9	17
3	Norway	8	2	11
4	Georgia	8	-6	8
5	Cyprus	8	-25	0

Serbia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Russia 4-0 Serbia
Thursday, March 21 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	8	9	18
2	Serbia	8	6	14
3	Montenegro	8	-2	11
4	Lithuania	8	-6	6
5	Bulgaria	8	-7	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 14.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.64%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Serbia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Serbia.

Result
Cyprus	Draw	Serbia
14.96% ( 0.29)	22.3% ( -0.07)	62.74% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 44.27% (

0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.37% (

0.76)

52.63% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.72% (

0.65)

74.28% (

-0.65)

Cyprus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.86% (

0.88)

47.14% (

-0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.41% (

0.66)

82.59% (

-0.66)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.74% (

0.19)

16.26% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.21% (

0.34)

45.79% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Cyprus 14.96%

Serbia 62.73%

Draw 22.3%

Cyprus	Draw	Serbia
1-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.1% Total : 14.96%	1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.59% Total : 22.3%	0-1 @ 13.92% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 12.64% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 7.66% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 5.76% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.62% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.08) 0-5 @ 1.26% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.79% Total : 62.73%