Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.