/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fruslog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fserlog.png)
-
Anton Miranchuk
21'
-
Maksim Osipenko
32'
-
Aleksei Miranchuk
55'
-
Ivan Sergeev
90'+1'
-
Milan Gajic
21'
Russia vs Serbia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F41%2Fvalery-karpin.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Serbia had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Serbia win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.
Result
Russia
57.7%
▲
(+0.22)
Draw
22.74%
▲
(+0.55)
Serbia
19.56%
▼
(-0.76)
Both Teams to Score:
51.84%
▼
(-3.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.79%
▼
(-3.41)
Under 2.5
47.21%
▲
(+3.41)
Over 3.5
30.56%
▼
(-3.25)
Under 3.5
69.44%
▲
(+3.25)
Over 4.5
15.06%
▼
(-2.33)
Under 4.5
84.94%
▲
(+2.33)
Russia Goals
Over 0.5
83.91%
▼
(-1.10)
Under 0.5
16.09%
▲
(+1.11)
Over 1.5
54.52%
▼
(-2.05)
Under 1.5
45.48%
▲
(+2.06)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5
61.78%
▼
(-2.75)
Under 0.5
38.22%
▲
(+2.75)
Over 1.5
25.02%
▼
(-2.75)
Under 1.5
74.98%
▲
(+2.75)
Score analysis
Russia
57.69%
Draw
22.73%
Serbia
19.56%
Russia
1-0
@
11.23%
▲
(+1.16)
2-0 @ 10.26% ▲ (+0.69)
2-1 @ 9.87% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.27)
3-2 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.37)
4-0 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.24)
4-2 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.23)
5-0 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 57.69%
2-0 @ 10.26% ▲ (+0.69)
2-1 @ 9.87% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.27)
3-2 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.37)
4-0 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.24)
4-2 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.23)
5-0 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 57.69%
Draw
1-1
@
10.8%
▲
(+0.36)
0-0 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.84)
2-2 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.40)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 22.73%
0-0 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.84)
2-2 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.40)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 22.73%
Serbia
0-1
@
5.91%
▲
(+0.41)
1-2 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.23)
0-2 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 19.56%
1-2 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.23)
0-2 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 19.56%
