Friendlies 1

Mar 21, 2024 at 5pm UK

Arena Khimki

Russia
4 - 0
Serbia

Miranchuk (21' pen.), Osipenko (32'), Miranchuk (55'), Sergeev (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gajic (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Russia and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Russia

All competitions

Last Game: Russia 8-0 Cuba
Monday, November 20 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Serbia

All competitions

Last Game: Serbia 2-2 Bulgaria
Sunday, November 19 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	8	9	18
2	Serbia	8	6	14
3	Montenegro	8	-2	11
4	Lithuania	8	-6	6
5	Bulgaria	8	-7	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Serbia had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Serbia win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.

Result
Russia	Draw	Serbia
57.7% ( 0.21)	22.74% ( 0.55)	19.56% ( -0.76)

Both teams to score 51.84% (

-3.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.79% (

-3.41)

47.21% (

3.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.56% (

-3.25)

69.44% (

3.25)

Russia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.91% (

-1.1)

16.09% (

1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.52% (

-2.05)

45.48% (

2.05)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.78% (

-2.75)

38.22% (

2.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.02% (

-2.74)

74.98% (

2.75)

Score Analysis

Russia 57.69%

Serbia 19.56%

Draw 22.73%

Russia	Draw	Serbia
1-0 @ 11.23% ( 1.15) 2-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.36) 4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.22) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.21% Total : 57.69%	1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.83) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.4) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.73%	0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.51% Total : 19.56%