/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fserlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbullog.png)
-
Milos Veljkovic
16'
-
Sasa Lukic
51'
-
Srdan Babic
82'
-
Alex Petkov
3'
-
Georgi Rusev
59'
-
Kiril Despodov
69'
Serbia vs Bulgaria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F41%2Fserbia.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 57.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result
Serbia
57.13%
▼
(-0.21)
Draw
21.94%
▼
(-0.01)
Bulgaria
20.93%
▲
(+0.22)
Both Teams to Score:
56.66%
▲
(+0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.13%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 2.5
41.87%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 3.5
35.73%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 3.5
64.27%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 4.5
18.81%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 4.5
81.19%
▼
(-0.23)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5
85.55%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
14.45%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
57.6%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
42.4%
▼
(-0.07)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5
66.24%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 0.5
33.77%
▼
(-0.38)
Over 1.5
29.57%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 1.5
70.43%
▼
(-0.41)
Score analysis
Serbia
57.13%
Draw
21.94%
Bulgaria
20.93%
Serbia
2-1
@
9.91%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 9.13% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 57.13%
1-0 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 9.13% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 57.13%
Draw
1-1
@
10.24%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.94%
2-2 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.94%
Bulgaria
1-2
@
5.56%
▲
(+0.05)
0-1 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 20.93%
0-1 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 20.93%