Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 57.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Cameroon had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Cameroon win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Russia in this match.