Friendlies 1

Oct 16, 2023 at 5pm UK

Antalya Stadyumu

Kenya
2 - 2
Russia

Akumu (16'), Juma (36')
Olunga (72'), Onyango (88'), Odada (90+3'), Onyango (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Sobolev (8'), Oblyakov (89')
Silyanov (90+1')

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Kenya and Russia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kenya

All competitions

Last Game: Kenya 0-1 South Sudan
Tuesday, September 12 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Russia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Russia 1-0 Cameroon
Thursday, October 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 48.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 24.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.75%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Kenya win it was 1-0 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Kenya	Draw	Russia
24.41% ( 0.01)	27.28% ( -0.01)	48.3% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 44.8% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.41% (

0.03)

59.59% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.07% (

0.02)

79.92% (

-0.02)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.57% (

0.03)

40.42% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.96% (

0.03)

77.03% (

-0.03)

Russia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.21% (

0.01)

24.79% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.63% (

0.01)

59.36% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Kenya 24.41%

Russia 48.3%

Draw 27.27%

Kenya	Draw	Russia
1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.73% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.11% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 1.31% Total : 24.41%	1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4% ( 0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.27%	0-1 @ 13.97% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.53% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.58% 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 48.3%