International Friendlies
Oct 16, 2023 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Antalya Stadyumu
  • Anthony Akumu 16' goal
  • Masoud Juma 36' goal
  • Michael Olunga 72' yellowcard
  • Rooney Onyango 88' yellowcard
  • Richard Odada 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Brian Onyango 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Aleksandr Sobolev 8'
  • goal Ivan Oblyakov 89'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Silyanov 90'+1'

Kenya vs Russia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kenya

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 12, 2023 2.00pm
Kenya 0 - 1 South Sudan

Russia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 12, 2023 5.00pm
Russia 1 - 0 Cameroon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 48.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 24.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.75%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Kenya win it was 1-0 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result

Kenya 24.41% (+0.02)
Draw 27.28% (-0.01)
Russia 48.3% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.8% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.41% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 59.59% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 20.07% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 79.92% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 8.38% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 91.62% (-0.02)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5 59.57% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 40.42% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 22.96% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 77.03% (-0.04)

Russia Goals

Over 0.5 75.21% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.79% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 40.63% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 59.36% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Kenya 24.41%
Draw 27.27%
Russia 48.3%
Kenya
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.73% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.11% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.73% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.24% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 24.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 10.01% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.27%
Russia
0-1 @ 13.97% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.75% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.83% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.53% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.11% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.58%
1-4 @ 1.43% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 48.3%