Friendlies 1

Sep 12, 2023 at 2pm UK

Moi International Sports Centre

Kenya
0 - 1
South Sudan

Nondi (81'), Onyango (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Okello (2')
Maker (44'), Toha (45+1'), Mawith (56'), Dhata (84')

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Kenya and South Sudan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kenya

All competitions

Last Game: Qatar 1-2 Kenya
Thursday, September 7 at 4.15pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

South Sudan

Last Game: Mali 4-0 South Sudan
Friday, September 8 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 46.68%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 26.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
Kenya	Draw	South Sudan
46.68% ( 0.32)	26.97% ( -0.06)	26.35% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 47.24% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.73% (

0.05)

57.27% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.89% (

0.04)

78.11% (

-0.04)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.47% (

0.17)

24.53% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.99% (

0.24)

59.01% (

-0.24)

South Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.6% (

-0.19)

37.4% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.82% (

-0.19)

74.18% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Kenya 46.68%

South Sudan 26.35%

Draw 26.97%

Kenya	Draw	South Sudan
1-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 46.68%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.97%	0-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 26.35%