International Friendlies
Sep 12, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Moi International Sports Centre
  • Amos Nondi 81' yellowcard
  • Brian Onyango 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Tito Okello 2'
  • yellowcard Peter Maker 44'
  • yellowcard Rashid Toha 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Majak Mawith 56'
  • yellowcard Joseph Dhata 84'

Kenya vs South Sudan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kenya

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 7, 2023 4.15pm
Qatar 1 - 2 Kenya

South Sudan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 18, 2023 6.00pm
Egypt 3 - 0 South Sudan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 46.68%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 26.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result

Kenya 46.68% (+0.32)
Draw 26.97% (-0.06)
South Sudan 26.35% (-0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.24% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.73% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 57.27% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 21.89% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 78.11% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 9.44% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 90.56% (-0.03)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5 75.47% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 24.53% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 40.99% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 59.01% (-0.25)

South Sudan Goals

Over 0.5 62.6% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 37.4% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 25.82% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 74.18% (+0.19)

Score analysis

Kenya 46.68%
Draw 26.97%
South Sudan 26.35%
Kenya
1-0 @ 12.89% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 9.06% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 8.91% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.24% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 4.17% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.05% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.49% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 46.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.18% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.97%
South Sudan
0-1 @ 9.02% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 26.35%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 13, 2021 12.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nyayo National Stadium
  • 47' yellowcard
  • Elvis Rupia 76' goal