International Friendlies
Sep 7, 2023 4.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Al Janoub Stadium
  • Hassan Al Heidos 34' goal
  • Hazem Shehata 79' yellowcard
  • goal Joseph Okumu 20'
  • yellowcard Kenneth Muguna 22'
  • yellowcard Anthony Akumu 70'
  • yellowcard Amos Nondi 88'
  • goal Amos Nondi 90'+1'

Qatar vs Kenya - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 15, 2023 5.00pm
Jamaica 1 - 2 Qatar

Kenya

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 18, 2023 12.30pm
Mauritius 1 - 0 Kenya

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Kenya win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result

Qatar 56.79% (+1.12)
Draw 25% (-0.49)
Kenya 18.22% (-0.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.22% (+0.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.43% (+0.94)
Under 2.5 57.57% (-0.94)
Over 3.5 21.65% (+0.74)
Under 3.5 78.35% (-0.74)
Over 4.5 9.3% (+0.44)
Under 4.5 90.7% (-0.44)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5 79.74% (+0.83)
Under 0.5 20.26% (-0.83)
Over 1.5 47.39% (+1.30)
Under 1.5 52.61% (-1.30)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5 54.2% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 45.81% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 18.43% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 81.57% (+0.16)

Score analysis

Qatar 56.77%
Draw 24.99%
Kenya 18.22%
Qatar
1-0 @ 14.81% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 11.82% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 9.23% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 6.29% (+0.25)
3-1 @ 4.91% (+0.17)
4-0 @ 2.51% (+0.16)
4-1 @ 1.96% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 1.92% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 56.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.19)
0-0 @ 9.28% (-0.34)
2-2 @ 3.61% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 24.99%
Kenya
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.31)
1-2 @ 4.52% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.14)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 18.22%