Friendlies 1

Sep 7, 2023 at 4.15pm UK

Al Janoub Stadium

Qatar
1 - 2
Kenya

Al Heidos (34' pen.)
Shehata (79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Okumu (20'), Nondi (90+1')
Muguna (22'), Akumu (70'), Nondi (88')

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Qatar and Kenya.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Panama 4-0 Qatar
Sunday, July 9 at 12am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mexico	3	5	6
2	Qatar	3	0	4
3	Honduras	3	-3	4
4	Haiti	3	-2	3

Kenya

All competitions

Last Game: Mauritius 1-0 Kenya
Sunday, June 18 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Kenya win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Qatar	Draw	Kenya
56.79% ( 1.12)	25% ( -0.49)	18.22% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 43.22% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.43% (

0.94)

57.57% (

-0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.65% (

0.74)

78.35% (

-0.73)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.74% (

0.83)

20.26% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.39% (

1.3)

52.61% (

-1.29)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.2% (

-0.19)

45.81% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.43% (

-0.15)

81.57% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Qatar 56.77%

Kenya 18.22%

Draw 24.99%

Qatar	Draw	Kenya
1-0 @ 14.81% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.31% Total : 56.77%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 24.99%	0-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.51% Total : 18.22%