Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 11.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.