International Friendlies
Nov 20, 2023 4.30pm
8
0
HT : 3 0
FT Saint Petersburg Stadium
  • Ivan Oblyakov 22' goal
  • Aleksandr Golovin 30' goal
  • Anton Miranchuk 34' goal
  • Aleksandr Silyanov 55' goal
  • Aleksandr Sobolev 66' goal
  • Danila Prutsev 68' goal
  • Nikita Krivtsov 74' goal
  • Andrey Mostovoy 78' goal
  • yellowcard Luis Paradela 38'

Russia vs Cuba - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Russia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 16, 2023 5.00pm
Kenya 2 - 2 Russia

Cuba

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 21, 2023 12.30am
Uruguay 2 - 0 Cuba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 11.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.

Result

Russia 69.18% (-0.12)
Draw 19.18% (+0.01)
Cuba 11.63% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.64% (+0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.91% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 47.09% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 30.67% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 69.33% (-0.24)
Over 4.5 15.14% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 84.86% (-0.17)

Russia Goals

Over 0.5 87.51% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 12.49% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 61.53% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 38.47% (-0.09)

Cuba Goals

Over 0.5 51.01% (+0.35)
Under 0.5 48.99% (-0.35)
Over 1.5 16.05% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 83.94% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Russia 69.17%
Draw 19.18%
Cuba 11.63%
Russia
2-0 @ 13.23% (-0.10)
1-0 @ 12.72% (-0.11)
2-1 @ 9.45% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 9.18% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 6.55% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 4.77% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.41% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.34% (+0.04)
5-0 @ 1.99% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.42% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 69.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.08% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.12% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 3.37% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 19.18%
Cuba
0-1 @ 4.37% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.24% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 1.56% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 11.63%