Cuba national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Oct 13, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio Olimpico Felix Sanchez
Honduras national football team

Cuba
0 - 0
Honduras


Perez (4'), Perez (4'), Morejon (90+1'), Morejon (90+1')
FT

Zapata (28'), Zapata (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Cuba and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cuba

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Cuba 1-0 Suriname
Tuesday, September 12 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Honduras 4-0 Grenada
Wednesday, September 13 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuba win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
CubaDrawHonduras
54.94% (-0.635 -0.63)24.55% (0.249 0.25)20.5% (0.384 0.38)
Both teams to score 47.82% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.69% (-0.504 -0.5)53.31% (0.501 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.14% (-0.428 -0.43)74.85% (0.426 0.43)
Cuba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.67% (-0.437 -0.44)19.33% (0.435 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.91% (-0.724 -0.72)51.09% (0.719 0.72)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.27% (0.122 0.12)40.73% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.69% (0.11 0.11)77.31% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Cuba 54.93%
    Honduras 20.5%
    Draw 24.55%
CubaDrawHonduras
1-0 @ 12.93% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.63% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.83% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.39% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 54.93%
1-1 @ 11.62% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.87% (0.154 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.162 0.16)
1-2 @ 5.22% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.18% (0.083 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 20.5%

How you voted: Cuba vs Honduras

Cuba
25.0%
Draw
0.0%
Honduras
75.0%
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