CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 2, 2023 12.30am
1
4
HT : 0 6
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Arichel Hernandez 62' goal
  • Arichel Hernandez 62' goal
  • goal Matthias Phaeton 13'
  • goal Matthias Phaeton 13'
  • goal Ange-Freddy Plumain 41'
  • goal Ange-Freddy Plumain 41'
  • goal Matthias Phaeton 43'
  • goal Matthias Phaeton 43'
  • goal Anthony Baron 50'
  • goal Anthony Baron 50'

Cuba vs Guadeloupe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cuba

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last game
Jun 28, 2023 1.45am
Guatemala 1 - 0 Cuba

Guadeloupe

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last game
Jun 28, 2023 12.00am
Canada 2 - 2 Guadeloupe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Cuba had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Cuba win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guadeloupe would win this match.

Result

Cuba 25.86% (-1.13)
Draw 25.62% (+0.13)
Guadeloupe 48.51% (+1.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.75% (-1.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.48% (-1.25)
Under 2.5 52.52% (+1.25)
Over 3.5 25.82% (-1.09)
Under 3.5 74.18% (+1.09)
Over 4.5 11.88% (-0.71)
Under 4.5 88.12% (+0.71)

Cuba Goals

Over 0.5 64.78% (-1.60)
Under 0.5 35.22% (+1.60)
Over 1.5 28.02% (-1.71)
Under 1.5 71.97% (+1.71)

Guadeloupe Goals

Over 0.5 78.34% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 21.66% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 45.2% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 54.79% (+0.12)

Score analysis

Cuba 25.86%
Draw 25.61%
Guadeloupe 48.51%
Cuba
1-0 @ 7.96% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 6.35% (-0.26)
2-0 @ 4.15% (-0.16)
3-1 @ 2.21% (-0.20)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 1.45% (-0.13)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 25.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.17% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.63% (+0.37)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.21)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.61%
Guadeloupe
0-1 @ 11.66% (+0.55)
1-2 @ 9.31% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.93% (+0.40)
1-3 @ 4.75% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.55% (+0.20)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.12)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.74% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 48.51%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
Mar 26, 2023 9.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Yasniel Matos 45'+2' goal
CONCACAF Nations League
Jun 3, 2022 1.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade René Serge Nabajoth
  • G 15' goal
  • Thierry Ambrose 47' yellowcard
  • M 77' yellowcard
  • Thierry Ambrose 90' goal
  • yellowcard Yosel Piedra 45'
  • yellowcard Cavafe 51'
  • goal Maykel Reyes 74'
  • yellowcard Luis Paradela 80'