Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Haiti had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Haiti win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.

Result
Honduras	Draw	Haiti
43.82% ( -0.17)	25.37% ( 0.05)	30.81% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 54.87% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.3% (

-0.17)

48.7% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.19% (

-0.15)

70.81% (

0.15)

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.81% (

-0.15)

22.18% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.41% (

-0.23)

55.59% (

0.23)

Haiti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.51% (

-0)

29.48% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.51% (

-0)

65.49% (

Score Analysis

Honduras 43.82%

Haiti 30.81%

Draw 25.36%

Honduras	Draw	Haiti
1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.82%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.81%