CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Sep 9, 2023 at 2.10am UK

The National Stadium

Jamaica
1 - 0
Honduras

Gray (64', 64')
Reid (68'), Latibeaudiere (68'), Reid (68'), Latibeaudiere (68'), Gray (90+4'), Gray (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Acosta (29'), Acosta (29'), Vega (38'), Vega (38'), Maldonado (39'), Maldonado (39'), Rodriguez (72'), Rodriguez (72'), Zapata (74'), Zapata (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Jamaica and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

All competitions

Last Game: Jamaica 0-3 Mexico
Thursday, July 13 at 3.36am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Haiti	0	0	0
2	Cuba	0	0	0
3	Honduras	0	0	0
4	Jamaica	0	0	0
5	Grenada	0	0	0
6	Suriname	0	0	0

Honduras

All competitions

Last Game: Guatemala 0-0 Honduras
Sunday, September 3 at 11pm in International Friendlies

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Haiti	0	0	0
2	Cuba	0	0	0
3	Honduras	0	0	0
4	Jamaica	0	0	0
5	Grenada	0	0	0
6	Suriname	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 18.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Jamaica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Jamaica.

Result
Jamaica	Draw	Honduras
55.97% ( 0.32)	25.39% ( -0.15)	18.64% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 42.87% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.6% (

0.32)

58.4% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21% (

0.25)

79% (

-0.25)

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.08% (

0.26)

20.92% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.35% (

0.41)

53.65% (

-0.41)

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.21% (

-0.01)

45.79% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.45% (

-0)

81.55% (

Score Analysis

Jamaica 55.96%

Honduras 18.64%

Draw 25.38%

Jamaica	Draw	Honduras
1-0 @ 14.98% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 55.96%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.53% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.54% Total : 18.64%