CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 3, 2023 12.00am
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Levi's Stadium
  • Julani Archibald 30' goal
  • Jon Russell 45'+2' goal
  • Di'Shon Bernard 49' goal
  • Daniel Johnson 72' goal
  • Cory Burke 74' goal

Jamaica vs Saint Kitts and Nevis - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last game
Jun 29, 2023 12.30am
Jamaica 4 - 1 Trin. & Tob.

Saint Kitts and Nevis

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last game
Jun 29, 2023 2.30am
Saint Kitts 0 - 6 USA

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 5-0 win for Jamaica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Jamaica.

Result

Jamaica 47.35% (+6.87)
Draw 26.01% (-0.54)
Saint Kitts and Nevis 26.64% (-6.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.23% (-1.68)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.49% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 53.51% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 24.97% (-0.51)
Under 3.5 75.03% (+0.51)
Over 4.5 11.34% (-0.33)
Under 4.5 88.66% (+0.33)

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5 77.4% (+3.11)
Under 0.5 22.59% (-3.11)
Over 1.5 43.79% (+4.42)
Under 1.5 56.2% (-4.42)

Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals

Over 0.5 64.89% (-4.97)
Under 0.5 35.11% (+4.97)
Over 1.5 28.14% (-5.57)
Under 1.5 71.86% (+5.57)

Score analysis

Jamaica 47.35%
Draw 26.01%
Saint Kitts and Nevis 26.64%
Jamaica
1-0 @ 11.8% (+1.29)
2-1 @ 9.19% (+0.62)
2-0 @ 8.78% (+1.63)
3-1 @ 4.55% (+0.68)
3-0 @ 4.35% (+1.12)
3-2 @ 2.38% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.69% (+0.38)
4-0 @ 1.62% (+0.52)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 47.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.27)
0-0 @ 7.93% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.34)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.01%
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.99)
1-2 @ 6.46% (-1.11)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-1.23)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.77)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.38)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.71)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 26.64%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Apr 27, 2018 1.00am
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT Newtown Football Stadium (Warner Park) (Basseterre)
  • Tiran Hanley 54' goal
  • goal Devaughn Elliott 22' (OG)
  • goal Fabian McCarthy 24'
  • goal Chevone Marsh 36'
  • redcard Javain Brown 85'