Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 5-0 win for Jamaica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Jamaica.

Result
Jamaica	Draw	Saint Kitts and Nevis
47.35% ( 6.86)	26.01% ( -0.54)	26.64% ( -6.33)

Both teams to score 50.23% (

-1.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.49% (

-0.6)

53.51% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.97% (

-0.51)

75.03% (

0.51)

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.4% (

3.11)

22.59% (

-3.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.79% (

4.41)

56.2% (

-4.42)

Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.89% (

-4.96)

35.11% (

4.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.14% (

-5.57)

71.86% (

5.57)

Score Analysis

Jamaica 47.35%

Saint Kitts and Nevis 26.64%

Draw 26.01%

Jamaica	Draw	Saint Kitts and Nevis
1-0 @ 11.8% ( 1.28) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.61) 2-0 @ 8.78% ( 1.63) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.67) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 1.11) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.38) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.52) Other @ 2.99% Total : 47.35%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.33) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.99) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -1.1) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -1.23) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.77) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.38) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.71) Other @ 2.08% Total : 26.64%