Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 5-0 win for Jamaica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Jamaica.