Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 64.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Grenada had a probability of 14.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Grenada win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.