CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Sep 13, 2023 at 3am UK

Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino

Honduras
4 - 0
Grenada

Rodriguez (45+2', 45+2', 65', 65'), Lozano (51', 51'), Palma (60' pen., 60' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Berkeley-Agyepong (47'), Berkeley-Agyepong (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Honduras and Grenada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Honduras

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Jamaica 1-0 Honduras
Saturday, September 9 at 2.10am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	1	1	3
2	Grenada	1	0	1
3	Suriname	1	0	1
4	Haiti	1	0	1
5	Cuba	1	0	1
6	Honduras	1	-1	0

Grenada

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Grenada 1-1 Suriname
Saturday, September 9 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	1	1	3
2	Grenada	1	0	1
3	Suriname	1	0	1
4	Haiti	1	0	1
5	Cuba	1	0	1
6	Honduras	1	-1	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 64.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Grenada had a probability of 14.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Grenada win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.

Result
Honduras	Draw	Grenada
64.48% ( 0.05)	20.83% ( 0.01)	14.69% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 48% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.76% (

-0.16)

47.24% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.53% (

-0.15)

69.47% (

0.16)

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.09% (

-0.04)

13.92% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.64% (

-0.07)

41.37% (

0.08)

Grenada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.76% (

-0.18)

44.24% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.68% (

-0.15)

80.32% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Honduras 64.48%

Grenada 14.69%

Draw 20.83%

Honduras	Draw	Grenada
1-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.88% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 64.48%	1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.79% Total : 20.83%	0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.41% Total : 14.69%