CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Oct 16, 2023 at 1am UK

Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino

Honduras
4 - 0
Cuba

Maldonado (9', 9'), Lozano (13', 13'), Quioto (67' pen., 67' pen.), Rochez (90', 90')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Corrales (73'), Corrales (73'), Hernandez (84'), Hernandez (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Honduras and Cuba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Honduras

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Cuba 0-0 Honduras
Friday, October 13 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	3	4	7
2	Cuba	3	1	5
3	Honduras	3	3	4
4	Haiti	3	0	3
5	Suriname	3	-1	2
6	Grenada	3	-7	1

Cuba

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Cuba 0-0 Honduras
Friday, October 13 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	3	4	7
2	Cuba	3	1	5
3	Honduras	3	3	4
4	Haiti	3	0	3
5	Suriname	3	-1	2
6	Grenada	3	-7	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 66.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 13.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.

Result
Honduras	Draw	Cuba
66.37% ( -0.64)	20.49% ( 0.13)	13.14% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 45.05% (

0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.97% (

0.56)

49.03% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.89% (

0.5)

71.11% (

-0.51)

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.09% (

-0.02)

13.91% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.66% (

-0.04)

41.34% (

0.03)

Cuba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.32% (

1.16)

47.67% (

-1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.01% (

0.85)

82.99% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

Honduras 66.36%

Cuba 13.14%

Draw 20.49%

Honduras	Draw	Cuba
1-0 @ 13.07% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.43% Total : 66.36%	1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.49%	0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.82% Total : 13.14%