Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Netherlands national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 25, 2024 at 5pm UK
Olympiastadion Berlin
Austria national football team

Netherlands
2 - 3
Austria

Gakpo (47'), Depay (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Malen (6' og.), Schmid (59'), Sabitzer (80')
Posch (32'), Wimmer (33'), Querfeld (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Austria qualify for the last 16 of Euro 2024 as Group D winners after beating Netherlands 3-2 in a thriller at the Olympiastadion in Berlin.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Championship clash between Netherlands and Austria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Austria could line up for Tuesday's Euro 2024 clash with the Netherlands.

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Netherlands 0-0 France
Friday, June 21 at 8pm in European Championship

Austria

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Poland 1-3 Austria
Friday, June 21 at 5pm in European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Austria had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
NetherlandsDrawAustria
49.03% (0.501 0.5)25.3% (0.058999999999997 0.06)25.67% (-0.562 -0.56)
Both teams to score 51.53% (-0.677 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.6% (-0.649 -0.65)51.4% (0.646 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (-0.569 -0.57)73.21% (0.566 0.57)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.02% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)20.98% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.25% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)53.74% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (-0.816 -0.82)34.78% (0.812 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (-0.869 -0.87)71.51% (0.86699999999999 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 49.02%
    Austria 25.67%
    Draw 25.3%
NetherlandsDrawAustria
1-0 @ 11.39% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.9% (0.202 0.2)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.63% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 49.02%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.187 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.71% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 25.67%

How you voted: Netherlands vs Austria

Netherlands
59.5%
Draw
32.8%
Austria
7.7%
671
Head to Head
Jun 17, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
2-0
Austria
Depay (11' pen.), Dumfries (67')
de Roon (14')

Alaba (10'), Bachmann (67')
> Match Report
Jun 4, 2016 7.30pm
International Friendlies
Austria
0-2
Netherlands
Janssen (9'), Wijnaldum (66')
Janssen (21')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


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