European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 25, 2024 at 5pm UK
Olympiastadion Berlin
Netherlands2 - 3Austria
The Match
Match Report
Austria qualify for the last 16 of Euro 2024 as Group D winners after beating Netherlands 3-2 in a thriller at the Olympiastadion in Berlin.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Championship clash between Netherlands and Austria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Tuesday's Euro 2024 clash with Austria.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Netherlands 0-0 France
Friday, June 21 at 8pm in European Championship
Friday, June 21 at 8pm in European Championship
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | France | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Austria | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Poland | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Last Game: Poland 1-3 Austria
Friday, June 21 at 5pm in European Championship
Friday, June 21 at 5pm in European Championship
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | France | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Austria | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Poland | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Austria had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Netherlands | Draw | Austria |
49.03% ( 0.5) | 25.3% ( 0.06) | 25.67% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 51.53% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
