International Friendlies
Germany
Mar 26, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)
Netherlands
  • Maximilian Mittelstadt 11' goal
  • Robert Andrich 53' yellowcard
  • Toni Kroos 66' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 85' goal
  • goal Joey Veerman 4'
  • yellowcard Daley Blind 17'

Germany vs Netherlands - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 23, 2024 8.00pm
France 0 - 2 Germany

Netherlands

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 22, 2024 7.45pm
Netherlands 4 - 0 Scotland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Germany had a probability of 19.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 0-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Germany win it was 2-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Germany in this match.

Result

Germany 19.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 20.04% ▲ (+0.09)
Netherlands 60.36% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.29% ▼ (-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.21% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 2.5 34.8% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 3.5 43.24% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 3.5 56.76% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 4.5 24.8% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 4.5 75.2% ▲ (+0.43)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5 69.07% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 0.5 30.94% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 1.5 32.77% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 1.5 67.23% ▲ (+0.34)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 88.75% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 0.5 11.25% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 1.5 64.17% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 1.5 35.84% ▲ (+0.35)

Score analysis

Germany 19.61%
Draw 20.04%
Netherlands 60.36%
Germany
2-1 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 19.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.04%
Netherlands
1-2 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.09)
0-1 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.05)
1-5 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.03)
0-5 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.8%
Total : 60.36%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Netherlands
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Germany
  • Memphis Depay 29' yellowcard
  • Steven Bergwijn 68' goal
  • Frenkie de Jong 86' yellowcard
  • goal Thomas Muller 45'+1'
  • yellowcard David Raum 83'
  • yellowcard Antonio Rudiger 89'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Germany
Sep 6, 2019 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 1 0
FT
Netherlands
  • Serge Gnabry 9' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 35' yellowcard
  • Toni Kroos 73' goal
  • yellowcard Memphis Depay 35'
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 49'
  • goal Frenkie de Jong 59'
  • goal Jonathan Tah 66' (OG)
  • yellowcard Frenkie de Jong 72'
  • goal Donyell Malen 79'
  • goal Georginio Wijnaldum 91'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Netherlands
Mar 24, 2019 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Germany
  • Daley Blind 38' yellowcard
  • Matthijs de Ligt 48' goal
  • Memphis Depay 63' goal
  • goal Leroy Sane 15'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 34'
  • goal Nico Schulz 90'
Nations League
Germany
Nov 19, 2018 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
Netherlands
  • Timo Werner 9' goal
  • Mats Hummels 14' yellowcard
  • Leroy Sane 20' goal
  • Toni Kroos 52' yellowcard
  • Joshua Kimmich 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Georginio Wijnaldum 38'
  • goal Quincy Promes 85'
  • goal Virgil van Dijk 90'
Rome Open
Germany
Nov 19, 2018 7.45pm
Netherlands
  • Timo Werner 9' goal
  • Mats Hummels 14' yellowcard
  • Leroy Sane 20' goal
  • yellowcard Georginio Wijnaldum 38'
Nations League
Netherlands
Oct 13, 2018 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Germany
  • Virgil van Dijk 30' goal
  • Memphis Depay 87' goal
  • Georginio Wijnaldum 90' goal

Form Data

France 0 - 2 Germany
Austria 2 - 0 Germany
Germany 2 - 3 Turkey
Mexico 2 - 2 Germany
USA 1 - 3 Germany
Germany 2 - 1 France
Netherlands 4 - 0 Scotland
Gibraltar 0 - 6 Netherlands
Netherlands 1 - 0 Rep. Ireland
Greece 0 - 1 Netherlands
Netherlands 1 - 2 France
Rep. Ireland 1 - 2 Netherlands

Build-up

Predicted Lineups