Friendlies 1

Mar 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)

Germany
2 - 1
Netherlands

Mittelstadt (11'), Fullkrug (85')
Andrich (53'), Kroos (66')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Veerman (4')
Blind (17')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: France 0-2 Germany
Saturday, March 23 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	3	1	6
2	Spain	3	6	4
3	Germany	3	1	4
4	Costa Rica	3	-8	3

Netherlands

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Netherlands 4-0 Scotland
Friday, March 22 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	8	26	22
2	Netherlands	8	10	18
3	Greece	8	6	13
4	Republic of Ireland	8	-1	6
5	Gibraltar	8	-41	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Germany had a probability of 19.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 0-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Germany win it was 2-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Germany in this match.

Result
Germany	Draw	Netherlands
19.61% ( -0.01)	20.04% ( 0.09)	60.36% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 61.29% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.21% (

-0.45)

34.8% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.24% (

-0.5)

56.76% (

0.51)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.07% (

-0.28)

30.94% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.77% (

-0.33)

67.23% (

0.33)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.75% (

-0.15)

11.25% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.17% (

-0.34)

35.84% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Germany 19.61%

Netherlands 60.36%

Draw 20.04%

Germany	Draw	Netherlands
2-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.67% Total : 19.61%	1-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.04%	1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 7.1% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 6.05% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 3.88% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.81% Total : 60.36%