European Championship
Netherlands
Jun 21, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena
France
  • Jerdy Schouten 31' yellowcard
  • Xavi Simons 69' goal

Netherlands vs France - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions
European Championship
Last game
Jun 16, 2024 2.00pm
Poland 1 - 2 Netherlands

France

All competitions
European Championship
Last game
Jun 17, 2024 8.00pm
Austria 0 - 1 France

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result

Netherlands 34.78% ▲ (+0.18)
Draw 26.12% ▼ (-0.10)
France 39.1% ▼ (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.66% ▲ (+0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.16% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 2.5 50.83% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 3.5 27.28% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 3.5 72.72% ▼ (-0.37)
Over 4.5 12.83% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 4.5 87.17% ▼ (-0.25)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 72.02% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 0.5 27.98% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 1.5 36.38% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 1.5 63.61% ▼ (-0.40)

France Goals

Over 0.5 74.5% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 25.5% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 39.66% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 60.34% ▼ (-0.21)

Score analysis

Netherlands 34.78%
Draw 26.12%
France 39.1%
Netherlands
1-0 @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 34.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.41% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.12%
France
0-1 @ 9.75% ▼ (-0.13)
1-2 @ 8.49% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 39.1%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Netherlands
Oct 13, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
France
  • Joey Veerman 29' yellowcard
  • Denzel Dumfries 51' yellowcard
  • Quilindschy Hartman 83' goal
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 7'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 53'
  • yellowcard Aurelien Tchouameni 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Kylian Mbappe 90'+6'
Euro Champ Qualifying
France
Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Netherlands
  • Antoine Griezmann 2' goal
  • Dayot Upamecano 8' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 21' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 88' goal
Nations League
Netherlands
Nov 16, 2018 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
France
  • Georginio Wijnaldum 17' yellowcard
  • Georginio Wijnaldum 44' goal
  • Memphis Depay 90' goal
  • yellowcard N'Golo Kante 50'
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 58'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Pavard 72'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Dembele 89'
Nations League
France
Sep 9, 2018 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Netherlands
  • Kylian Mbappe 14' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 56' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 75' goal
  • Benjamin Pavard 80' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Babel 67'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
France
Aug 31, 2017 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Netherlands
  • Antoine Griezmann 14' goal
  • Thomas Lemar 73' goal
  • Thomas Lemar 88' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 90' goal
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Netherlands
Oct 10, 2016 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
France
  • goal Paul Pogba 30'

Form Data

Poland 1 - 2 Netherlands
Netherlands 4 - 0 Iceland
Netherlands 4 - 0 Canada
Germany 2 - 1 Netherlands
Netherlands 4 - 0 Scotland
Gibraltar 0 - 6 Netherlands
Austria 0 - 1 France
France 0 - 0 Canada
France 3 - 0 Luxembourg
France 3 - 2 Chile
France 0 - 2 Germany
Greece 2 - 2 France

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