Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for France had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest France win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.