Friendlies 1

Jun 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Feijenoord

Netherlands
4 - 0
Canada

Depay (50'), Frimpong (57'), Weghorst (63'), van Dijk (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bombito (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Netherlands and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Netherlands could line up for Thursday's international friendly against Canada.

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Germany 2-1 Netherlands
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	0	0	0
2	Netherlands	0	0	0
3	Poland	0	0	0
4	Austria	0	0	0

Canada

All competitions

Last Game: Canada 2-0 Trin. & Tob.
Saturday, March 23 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	0	0	0
2	Chile	0	0	0
3	Peru	0	0	0
4	Canada	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Canada had a probability of 20.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
Netherlands	Draw	Canada
55.74% ( -0.02)	23.69% ( 0.01)	20.57% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.47% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.16% (

-0)

49.84% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.16% (

-0)

71.84% (

0.01)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.28% (

-0.01)

17.72% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.61% (

-0.02)

48.39% (

0.02)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.34% (

0.02)

38.66% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.6% (

0.02)

75.41% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Netherlands 55.72%

Canada 20.57%

Draw 23.68%

Netherlands	Draw	Canada
1-0 @ 11.85% 2-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.52% Total : 55.72%	1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.68%	0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.47% Total : 20.57%