MX23RW : Monday, October 14 11:25:53| >> :60:191:191:
Canada national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Nov 22, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Jamaica national football team

Canada
2 - 3
Jamaica

Davies (25'), Kone (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nicholson (62', 66'), Reid (78' pen.)
Nicholson (54'), Lowe (58'), Gray (83')
Gray (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Canada and Jamaica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 1-2 Canada
Saturday, November 18 at 3.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 1-2 Canada
Saturday, November 18 at 3.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Canada 2-0 Jamaica (Canada advance 4-1 on aggregate)

With Eustaquio in the midfield, the Canadians seem to be able to unlock opposing defences more efficiently, and facing an inconsistent backline like Jamaica, we believe Canada will be able to find a way through. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
CanadaDrawJamaica
59.4% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02) 22.48% (0.173 0.17) 18.13% (-0.152 -0.15)
Both teams to score 50.15% (-0.815 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.81% (-0.947 -0.95)48.19% (0.95200000000001 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.66% (-0.873 -0.87)70.35% (0.879 0.88)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.15% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)15.86% (0.335 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.95% (-0.611 -0.61)45.05% (0.616 0.62)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.6% (-0.73 -0.73)40.4% (0.736 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.99% (-0.671 -0.67)77.02% (0.67400000000001 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Canada 59.39%
    Jamaica 18.13%
    Draw 22.48%
CanadaDrawJamaica
1-0 @ 11.79% (0.33 0.33)
2-0 @ 10.86% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.67% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.05% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.07% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 59.39%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.249 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 22.48%
0-1 @ 5.81% (0.112 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.85% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 18.13%

How you voted: Canada vs Jamaica

Canada
81.0%
Draw
14.3%
Jamaica
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2023 3.30pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Jamaica
1-2
Canada
Nicholson (56')
Nicholson (40'), Leigh (69'), Bailey (77')
David (45+1'), Eustaquio (85')
Mar 27, 2022 9.05pm
Third Round
Canada
4-0
Jamaica
Larin (13'), Buchanan (44'), Hoilett (83'), Mariappa (88' og.)

Brown (43')
Oct 10, 2021 11pm
Third Round
Jamaica
0-0
Canada
Fisher (7'), Watson (16'), Roofe (47'), Gray (81')
Piette (21')
Jul 11, 2015 11.30pm
Group Stage
Jamaica
1-0
Canada
Austin (90')

Piette (27'), Edgar (59'), Ledgerwood (90')
rhs 2.0
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