CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Oct 16, 2023 at 1am UK

Hasely Crawford Stadium

Haiti
2 - 3
Jamaica

Pierrot (15', 15', 87', 87')
Sainte (30'), Sainte (30'), Pierrot (50'), Pierrot (50'), Lambese (82'), Lambese (82')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Gray (18', 18'), Nicholson (57', 57'), Bailey (66', 66')
Phillips (90+2'), Phillips (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Haiti and Jamaica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haiti

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Suriname 1-1 Haiti
Thursday, October 12 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	3	4	7
2	Cuba	3	1	5
3	Honduras	3	3	4
4	Haiti	3	0	3
5	Suriname	3	-1	2
6	Grenada	3	-7	1

Jamaica

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Grenada 1-4 Jamaica
Friday, October 13 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	3	4	7
2	Cuba	3	1	5
3	Honduras	3	3	4
4	Haiti	3	0	3
5	Suriname	3	-1	2
6	Grenada	3	-7	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 23.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 0-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Haiti	Draw	Jamaica
53.73% ( 2.14)	23.09% ( -0.63)	23.17% ( -1.51)

Both teams to score 55.91% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.67% (

1.26)

44.33% (

-1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.29% (

1.21)

66.7% (

-1.21)

Haiti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.55% (

1.24)

16.44% (

-1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.87% (

2.2)

46.13% (

-2.2)

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.92% (

-0.61)

33.08% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.32% (

-0.68)

69.67% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Haiti 53.73%

Jamaica 23.17%

Draw 23.09%

Haiti	Draw	Jamaica
1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.25) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.73%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.09%	0-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.44) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.38% Total : 23.17%