Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 23.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 0-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.