Suriname national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Oct 12, 2023 at 11pm UK
Dr. Ir. Franklin Essed Stadion
Haiti national football team

Suriname
1 - 1
Haiti

Haps (17', 17')
van der Kust (80'), van der Kust (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cantave (51', 51')
Alceus (90'), Alceus (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Suriname and Haiti, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Suriname

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Cuba 1-0 Suriname
Tuesday, September 12 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Haiti

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 2-2 Haiti
Wednesday, September 13 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Haiti had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Haiti win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
SurinameDrawHaiti
37.9% (0.014000000000003 0.01)27.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)35.04% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.66% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)54.66% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.01% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)75.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Suriname Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04% (0.010999999999996 0.01)27.96% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41% (0.015000000000001 0.02)63.59% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Haiti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)29.68% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)65.73% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Suriname 37.89%
    Haiti 35.03%
    Draw 27.05%
SurinameDrawHaiti
1-0 @ 10.57%
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 37.89%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.3% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 35.03%

How you voted: Suriname vs Haiti

Suriname
17.6%
Draw
23.5%
Haiti
58.8%
17