CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Sep 13, 2023 at 1am UK

The National Stadium

Jamaica
2 - 2
Haiti

Ade (51' og., 51' og.), Reid (83' pen., 83' pen.)
Bernard (84'), Bernard (84'), Johnson (90+3'), Johnson (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Don Deedson (11', 11', 14', 14')
Sainte (31'), Sainte (31'), Alexis (63'), Alexis (63'), Jean Jacques (80'), Jean Jacques (80'), Ade (81'), Ade (81')
Alexis (90'), Alexis (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Jamaica and Haiti, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Jamaica 1-0 Honduras
Saturday, September 9 at 2.10am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	1	1	3
2	Grenada	1	0	1
3	Suriname	1	0	1
4	Haiti	1	0	1
5	Cuba	1	0	1
6	Honduras	1	-1	0

Haiti

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Haiti 0-0 Cuba
Friday, September 8 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	1	1	3
2	Grenada	1	0	1
3	Suriname	1	0	1
4	Haiti	1	0	1
5	Cuba	1	0	1
6	Honduras	1	-1	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Haiti had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Haiti win was 0-1 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Jamaica	Draw	Haiti
36.75% ( -1.2)	28.05% ( 0.09)	35.2% ( 1.1)

Both teams to score 47.63% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.55% (

-0.24)

58.45% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.96% (

-0.19)

79.04% (

0.19)

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.51% (

-0.84)

30.49% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.29% (

-1.01)

66.71% (

1.01)

Haiti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.52% (

0.6)

31.47% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.14% (

0.69)

67.86% (

-0.69)

Score Analysis

Jamaica 36.74%

Haiti 35.19%

Draw 28.04%

Jamaica	Draw	Haiti
1-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.27% Total : 36.74%	1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.04%	0-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.19%