Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 60.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Grenada had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.21%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Grenada win it was 1-0 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.