CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 18, 2023 3.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Independence Park
  • Shamar Nicholson 40' yellowcard
  • Shamar Nicholson 56' goal
  • Gregory Leigh 69' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 77' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan David 45'+1'
  • goal Stephen Eustaquio 85'

Jamaica vs Canada - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

All competitions

Canada

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Canada had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result

Jamaica 37.65% (-0.28)
Draw 28.38% (+0.20)
Canada 33.96% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.53% (-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.25% (-0.69)
Under 2.5 59.75% (+0.69)
Over 3.5 19.95% (-0.53)
Under 3.5 80.05% (+0.53)
Over 4.5 8.31% (-0.31)
Under 4.5 91.69% (+0.31)

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5 69.41% (-0.51)
Under 0.5 30.59% (+0.51)
Over 1.5 33.18% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 66.82% (+0.61)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5 67.04% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 32.96% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 30.46% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 69.54% (+0.34)

Score analysis

Jamaica 37.65%
Draw 28.38%
Canada 33.95%
Jamaica
1-0 @ 11.94% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 7.07% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 37.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.25% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 10.08% (+0.26)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.38%
Canada
0-1 @ 11.18% (+0.19)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.21% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.3% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 33.95%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Mar 27, 2022 9.05pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Cyle Larin 13' goal
  • Tajon Buchanan 44' goal
  • Junior Hoilett 83' goal
  • Adrian Mariappa 88' goal
  • yellowcard Javain Brown 43'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Oct 10, 2021 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Independence Park
  • Oniel Fisher 7' yellowcard
  • Je-Vaughn Watson 16' yellowcard
  • Kemar Roofe 47' yellowcard
  • Andre Gray 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Piette 21'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 11, 2015 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium, Houston
  • Rudolph Austin 90' goal
  • yellowcard Samuel Piette 27'
  • yellowcard David Edgar 59'
  • yellowcard Nikolas Ledgerwood 90'