Friendlies 1

Jun 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Feijenoord

Netherlands
4 - 0
Iceland

Simons (23'), van Dijk (49'), Malen (79'), Weghorst (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Netherlands and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Netherlands 4-0 Canada
Thursday, June 6 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	0	0	0
2	Netherlands	0	0	0
3	Poland	0	0	0
4	Austria	0	0	0

Iceland

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: England 0-1 Iceland
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	10	34	30
2	Slovakia	10	9	22
3	Luxembourg	10	-6	17
4	Iceland	10	1	10
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	10	-11	9
6	Liechtenstein	10	-27	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 67.14%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 13.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
Netherlands	Draw	Iceland
67.14% ( 0.83)	19.41% ( -0.2)	13.45% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 49.32% (

-1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.24% (

-0.52)

43.75% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.85% (

-0.51)

66.14% (

0.51)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.92% (

0.08)

12.08% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.38% (

0.16)

37.61% (

-0.16)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.09% (

-1.26)

43.91% (

1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.95% (

-1.05)

80.05% (

1.05)

Score Analysis

Netherlands 67.13%

Iceland 13.45%

Draw 19.41%

Netherlands	Draw	Iceland
2-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.33) 1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.35% Total : 67.13%	1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.87% Total : 19.41%	0-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.35% Total : 13.45%