International Friendlies
Jan 14, 2024 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cementos Progreso
  • Jose Carlos Martinez 45' yellowcard
  • Jose Carlos Martinez 45' yellowcard
  • goal Isak Thorvaldsson 79'
  • goal Isak Thorvaldsson 79'

Guatemala vs Iceland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

All competitions

Iceland

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 43.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result

Guatemala 43.67% (-0.15)
Draw 28.22% (+0.10)
Iceland 28.1% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.98% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.27% (-0.28)
Under 2.5 60.72% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 19.21% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 80.79% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 7.89% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 92.11% (+0.13)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5 72.36% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 27.64% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 36.82% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 63.18% (+0.28)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5 62.16% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 37.84% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 25.39% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 74.61% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Guatemala 43.67%
Draw 28.22%
Iceland 28.1%
Guatemala
1-0 @ 13.44% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 8.65% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.6% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 43.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.07% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 10.45% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.22%
Iceland
0-1 @ 10.16% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.94% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.6% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 28.1%