CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Sep 11, 2023 at 1.06am UK

Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores

Guatemala
1 - 1
Panama

Santis (71', 71', 71')
Mejia (37'), Mejia (37'), Mejia (37'), Altan (90+1'), Altan (90+1'), Altan (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Davis (7' pen., 7' pen., 7' pen.)
Carrasquilla (2'), Carrasquilla (2'), Carrasquilla (2'), Christiansen (3'), Christiansen (3'), Christiansen (3'), Waterman Ruiz (10'), Waterman Ruiz (10'), Waterman Ruiz (10'), Blackman (25'), Blackman (25'), Blackman (25'), Fajardo (58'), Fajardo (58'), Fajardo (58'), Anderson (70'), Anderson (70'), Anderson (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Guatemala and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Guatemala 2-0 El Salvador
Friday, September 8 at 3.10am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	1	3	3
2	Guatemala	1	2	3
3	Trinidad and Tobago	1	1	3
4	Curacao	1	-1	0
5	El Salvador	1	-2	0
6	Martinique	1	-3	0

Panama

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Panama 3-0 Martinique
Friday, September 8 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	1	3	3
2	Guatemala	1	2	3
3	Trinidad and Tobago	1	1	3
4	Curacao	1	-1	0
5	El Salvador	1	-2	0
6	Martinique	1	-3	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.34%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 1-0 (12.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Guatemala	Draw	Panama
33.93% ( -1.28)	29.67% ( 0.02)	36.4% ( 1.26)

Both teams to score 42.96% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.9% (

-0.11)

64.1% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.74% (

-0.08)

83.26% (

0.08)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.72% (

-0.94)

35.28% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.96% (

-0.99)

72.04% (

0.99)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.39% (

0.78)

33.61% (

-0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.74% (

0.84)

70.26% (

-0.84)

Score Analysis

Guatemala 33.92%

Panama 36.4%

Draw 29.66%

Guatemala	Draw	Panama
1-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.12% Total : 33.92%	1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.66%	0-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.46% Total : 36.4%