CONCACAF Nations League
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-
Carlos Mejia
15'
-
Carlos Mejia
15'
-
Nicolas Samayoa
47'
-
Rodrigo Saravia
47'
-
Nicolas Samayoa
47'
-
Rodrigo Saravia
47'
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Carlos Mejia
64'
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Carlos Mejia
64'
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Pedro Altan
78'
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Pedro Altan
78'
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Cristian Martinez
16'
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Cristian Martinez
16'
Guatemala vs El Salvador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.
Result
Guatemala
56.53%
▼
(-6.09)
Draw
25.03%
▲
(+2.43)
El Salvador
18.44%
▲
(+3.66)
Both Teams to Score:
43.49%
▲
(+0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.59%
▼
(-3.36)
Under 2.5
57.41%
▲
(+3.36)
Over 3.5
21.78%
▼
(-2.74)
Under 3.5
78.22%
▲
(+2.74)
Over 4.5
9.38%
▼
(-1.68)
Under 4.5
90.62%
▲
(+1.68)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5
79.7%
▼
(-3.51)
Under 0.5
20.3%
▲
(+3.51)
Over 1.5
47.33%
▼
(-5.91)
Under 1.5
52.67%
▲
(+5.91)
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5
54.56%
▲
(+2.82)
Under 0.5
45.44%
▼
(-2.82)
Over 1.5
18.72%
▲
(+2.14)
Under 1.5
81.28%
▼
(-2.14)
Score analysis
Guatemala
56.52%
Draw
25.02%
El Salvador
18.44%
Guatemala
1-0
@
14.7%
▲
(+0.25)
2-0 @ 11.72% ▼ (-1.17)
2-1 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 6.23% ▼ (-1.44)
3-1 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.68)
4-0 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.94)
4-1 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.54)
3-2 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 56.52%
2-0 @ 11.72% ▼ (-1.17)
2-1 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 6.23% ▼ (-1.44)
3-1 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.68)
4-0 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.94)
4-1 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.54)
3-2 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 56.52%
Draw
1-1
@
11.6%
▲
(+1.08)
0-0 @ 9.22% ▲ (+1.13)
2-2 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.23)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 25.02%
0-0 @ 9.22% ▲ (+1.13)
2-2 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.23)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 25.02%
El Salvador
0-1
@
7.28%
▲
(+1.37)
1-2 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.74)
0-2 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.72)
1-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-92.10)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 18.44%
1-2 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.74)
0-2 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.72)
1-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-92.10)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 18.44%
Head to Head
International Friendlies
-
37'
-
Jose Morales
25'
-
Oscar Santis
55'
-
Oscar Santis
59'
-
Stheven Robles
75'
International Friendlies
-
C. Ramirez
19'
-
Christopher Ramirez
19'
-
Pedro Manuel Altan Hernandez
21'
-
Pedro Altan
21'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
-
Alexander Roldan
81'
-
Walmer Martinez
90'+2'
-
Joaquin Rivas
90'+6'
-
Jose Alfredo Morales Concua
32'
-
Jose Carlos Pinto
34'
International Friendlies