CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Sep 8, 2023 at 3.10am UK

Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores

Guatemala
2 - 0
El Salvador

Mejia (15', 15'), Altan (78', 78')
Samayoa (47'), Saravia (47'), Samayoa (47'), Saravia (47'), Mejia (64'), Mejia (64')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Martinez (16'), Martinez (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Guatemala and El Salvador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

All competitions

Last Game: Guatemala 0-0 Honduras
Sunday, September 3 at 11pm in International Friendlies

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	0	0	0
2	El Salvador	0	0	0
3	Trinidad and Tobago	0	0	0
4	Guatemala	0	0	0
5	Curacao	0	0	0
6	Martinique	0	0	0

El Salvador

All competitions

Last Game: Panama 2-2 El Salvador
Wednesday, July 5 at 2am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	0	0	0
2	El Salvador	0	0	0
3	Trinidad and Tobago	0	0	0
4	Guatemala	0	0	0
5	Curacao	0	0	0
6	Martinique	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 18.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.

Result
Guatemala	Draw	El Salvador
56.53% ( -6.08)	25.03% ( 2.42)	18.44% ( 3.66)

Both teams to score 43.49% (

0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.59% (

-3.36)

57.41% (

3.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.78% (

-2.74)

78.22% (

2.74)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.7% (

-3.5)

20.3% (

3.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.33% (

-5.91)

52.67% (

5.91)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.56% (

2.81)

45.44% (

-2.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.72% (

2.13)

81.28% (

-2.13)

Score Analysis

Guatemala 56.52%

El Salvador 18.44%

Draw 25.02%

Guatemala	Draw	El Salvador
1-0 @ 14.7% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 11.72% ( -1.17) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 6.23% ( -1.44) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.67) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.94) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.53) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.31% Total : 56.52%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( 1.07) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( 1.12) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.55% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 7.28% ( 1.37) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.74) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.72) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.56% Total : 18.44%