Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 77.24%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 7.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.08%) and 1-0 (10.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.