CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Sep 8, 2023 at 1am UK

Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon

Panama
3 - 0
Martinique

Fajardo (9', 9'), Diaz (47', 47'), Waterman Ruiz (90+3', 90+3')
Godoy (29'), Godoy (29'), Francisco Welch Lopez (80'), Francisco Welch Lopez (80'), Waterman Ruiz (90'), Waterman Ruiz (90')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Moltenis (4'), Moltenis (4'), Herelle (10'), Herelle (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Panama and Martinique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panama

All competitions

Last Game: Bolivia 1-2 Panama
Sunday, August 27 at 9pm in International Friendlies

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	0	0	0
2	El Salvador	0	0	0
3	Trinidad and Tobago	0	0	0
4	Guatemala	0	0	0
5	Curacao	0	0	0
6	Martinique	0	0	0

Martinique

All competitions

Last Game: Costa Rica 6-4 Martinique
Wednesday, July 5 at 2am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	0	0	0
2	El Salvador	0	0	0
3	Trinidad and Tobago	0	0	0
4	Guatemala	0	0	0
5	Curacao	0	0	0
6	Martinique	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 77.24%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 7.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.08%) and 1-0 (10.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
Panama	Draw	Martinique
77.24% ( 0.22)	14.96% ( -0.09)	7.8% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 43.7% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.17% (

-0.06)

39.82% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.82% (

-0.06)

62.18% (

0.06)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.49% (

0.04)

8.51% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.52% (

0.09)

29.47% (

-0.09)

Martinique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.76% (

-0.36)

52.23% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.84% (

-0.24)

86.15% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Panama 77.23%

Martinique 7.8%

Draw 14.96%

Panama	Draw	Martinique
2-0 @ 13.49% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 4.43% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.19% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.78% Total : 77.23%	1-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.56% Total : 14.96%	0-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.67% Total : 7.8%