Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trinidad and Tobago win with a probability of 54.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trinidad and Tobago win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trinidad and Tobago would win this match.