CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Oct 14, 2023 at 2am UK

Hasely Crawford Stadium

Trin. & Tob.
3 - 2
Guatemala

Jones (36' pen., 36' pen.), Moore (54', 54'), James (89', 89')
Powder (35'), Powder (35'), Telfer (45'), Garcia (45+2'), Telfer (45'), Garcia (45+2'), David (65'), David (65'), James (90+11'), James (90+11')

FT(HT: 2-4)

Rubin (12', 12'), Santis (31', 31')
Robles (80'), Robles (80'), Garcia (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Trinidad and Tobago and Guatemala, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Trinidad and Tobago

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: El Salvador 2-3 Trin. & Tob.
Monday, September 11 at 3.10am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Trinidad and Tobago	2	2	6
2	Panama	2	3	4
3	Guatemala	2	2	4
4	Martinique	2	-2	3
5	Curacao	2	-2	0
6	El Salvador	2	-3	0

Guatemala

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Guatemala 1-1 Panama
Monday, September 11 at 1.06am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Trinidad and Tobago	2	2	6
2	Panama	2	3	4
3	Guatemala	2	2	4
4	Martinique	2	-2	3
5	Curacao	2	-2	0
6	El Salvador	2	-3	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trinidad and Tobago win with a probability of 54.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 19.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trinidad and Tobago win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trinidad and Tobago would win this match.

Result
Trinidad and Tobago	Draw	Guatemala
54.55% ( -0.6)	25.46% ( 0.2)	19.99% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 44.63% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.85% (

-0.28)

57.16% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.98% (

-0.22)

78.02% (

0.22)

Trinidad and Tobago Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79% (

-0.36)

21% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.23% (

-0.56)

53.77% (

0.56)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.5% (

0.28)

43.51% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.29% (

0.23)

79.72% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Trinidad and Tobago 54.54%

Guatemala 19.99%

Draw 25.45%

Trinidad and Tobago	Draw	Guatemala
1-0 @ 14.25% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.16% Total : 54.54%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 19.99%