Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.