Oct 18, 2023 2.00am

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Rommel Fernandez Gutierrez

Adalberto Carrasquilla 14'
Adalberto Carrasquilla 14'
Erick Davis 48'
Erick Davis 48'
Abdiel Ayarza 89'
Abdiel Ayarza 89'
Cesar Yanis 90'+2'
Cesar Yanis 90'+2'

Gerardo Gordillo 29'
Gerardo Gordillo 29'
Nicolas Samayoa 47'
Nicolas Samayoa 47'

Panama vs Guatemala - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Panama vs. Guatemala - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Panama vs. Guatemala - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 15 Oct 2023 06:30

Form, Standings, Stats

Panama

All competitions

W
D
W
W
L
D

CONCACAF Nations League

W
D
W

Last game

Oct 13, 2023 10.00pm

Curacao 1 - 2 Panama

Guatemala

All competitions

L
D
W
D
L
W

CONCACAF Nations League

L
D
W

Last game

Oct 14, 2023 2.00am

Trin. & Tob. 3 - 2 Guatemala

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result

Panama 55.49% ▲ (+0.83)

Draw 23.9% ▼ (-0.42)

Guatemala 20.6% ▼ (-0.42)

Both Teams to Score:

49.86% ▲ (+0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.33% ▲ (+1.15)

Under 2.5 50.67% ▼ (-1.15)

Over 3.5 27.43% ▲ (+1.01)

Under 3.5 72.57% ▼ (-1.00)

Over 4.5 12.93% ▲ (+0.66)

Under 4.5 87.07% ▼ (-0.66)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5 81.88% ▲ (+0.75)

Under 0.5 18.12% ▼ (-0.75)

Over 1.5 50.93% ▲ (+1.26)

Under 1.5 49.07% ▼ (-1.26)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5 60.89% ▲ (+0.23)

Under 0.5 39.11% ▼ (-0.22)

Over 1.5 24.17% ▲ (+0.21)

Under 1.5 75.82% ▼ (-0.21)

Score analysis

Panama 55.48%

Draw 23.9%

Guatemala 20.6%

Panama

1-0 @ 12.1% ▼ (-0.27)

2-0 @ 10.33% ▲ (+0.01)

2-1 @ 9.71% ▲ (+0.08)

3-0 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.15)

3-1 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.18)

3-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.10)

4-0 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.13)

4-1 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.13)

4-2 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.07)

Other @ 3.35%

Total : 55.48%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.36% ▼ (-0.18)

0-0 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.34)

2-2 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.07)

Other @ 0.9%

Total : 23.9%

Guatemala

0-1 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.27)

1-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.06)

0-2 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.11)

1-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 2.4%

Total : 20.6%

Head to Head

Sep 11, 2023 1.06am

1

1

HT : 0 3

FT Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores

Carlos Mejia 37'
Carlos Mejia 37'
Carlos Mejia 37'
Oscar Santis 71'
Oscar Santis 71'
Oscar Santis 71'
Pedro Altan 90'+1'
Pedro Altan 90'+1'
Pedro Altan 90'+1'

Adalberto Carrasquilla 2'
Adalberto Carrasquilla 2'
Adalberto Carrasquilla 2'
Thomas Christiansen 3'
Thomas Christiansen 3'
Thomas Christiansen 3'
Erick Davis 7'
Erick Davis 7'
Erick Davis 7'
Cecilio Waterman Ruiz 10'
Cecilio Waterman Ruiz 10'
Cecilio Waterman Ruiz 10'
Cesar Blackman 25'
Cesar Blackman 25'
Cesar Blackman 25'
Jose Fajardo 58'
Jose Fajardo 58'
Jose Fajardo 58'
Ivan Anderson 70'
Ivan Anderson 70'
Ivan Anderson 70'

Mar 12, 2023 11.30pm

1

1

HT : 0 2

FT Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores

Darwin Lom 85'

Carlos Harvey 18'
Carlos Harvey 18'

Form Data

Curacao 1 - 2 Panama

Guatemala 1 - 1 Panama

Panama 3 - 0 Martinique

Bolivia 1 - 2 Panama

Mexico 1 - 0 Panama

USA 1 - 1 Panama

Trin. & Tob. 3 - 2 Guatemala

Guatemala 1 - 1 Panama

Guatemala 2 - 0 El Salvador

Guatemala 0 - 0 Honduras

Guatemala 0 - 1 Jamaica

Guadeloupe 2 - 3 Guatemala