CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Oct 18, 2023 at 2am UK

Estadio Rommel Fernandez Gutierrez

Panama
3 - 0
Guatemala

Carrasquilla (14', 14'), Davis (48' pen., 48' pen.), Ayarza (89', 89')
Yanis (90+2'), Yanis (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gordillo (29'), Gordillo (29')
Samayoa (47'), Samayoa (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Panama and Guatemala, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panama

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Curacao 1-2 Panama
Friday, October 13 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Trinidad and Tobago	3	3	9
2	Panama	3	4	7
3	Martinique	3	-1	6
4	Guatemala	3	1	4
5	Curacao	3	-3	0
6	El Salvador	3	-4	0

Guatemala

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 3-2 Guatemala
Saturday, October 14 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Trinidad and Tobago	3	3	9
2	Panama	3	4	7
3	Martinique	3	-1	6
4	Guatemala	3	1	4
5	Curacao	3	-3	0
6	El Salvador	3	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
Panama	Draw	Guatemala
55.49% ( 0.83)	23.9% ( -0.41)	20.6% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 49.86% (

0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.33% (

1.15)

50.67% (

-1.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.43% (

72.57% (

-1)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.88% (

0.74)

18.12% (

-0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.93% (

1.25)

49.07% (

-1.25)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.89% (

0.22)

39.11% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.17% (

0.21)

75.82% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Panama 55.48%

Guatemala 20.6%

Draw 23.9%

Panama	Draw	Guatemala
1-0 @ 12.1% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.35% Total : 55.48%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.9%	0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.42% Total : 20.6%