CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Oct 13, 2023 at 10pm UK

Stadion Ergilio Hato

Curacao
1 - 2
Panama

Janga (90+5')
Gorre (55')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Joel Barcenas (29'), Luis Rodriguez (77')
Martinez (44'), Murillo (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Curacao and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Curacao

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Martinique 1-0 Curacao
Monday, September 11 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Trinidad and Tobago	2	2	6
2	Panama	2	3	4
3	Guatemala	2	2	4
4	Martinique	2	-2	3
5	Curacao	2	-2	0
6	El Salvador	2	-3	0

Panama

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Guatemala 1-1 Panama
Monday, September 11 at 1.06am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Trinidad and Tobago	2	2	6
2	Panama	2	3	4
3	Guatemala	2	2	4
4	Martinique	2	-2	3
5	Curacao	2	-2	0
6	El Salvador	2	-3	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 47.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Curacao had a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Curacao win it was 1-0 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
Curacao	Draw	Panama
24.87% ( 2.15)	27.35% ( 0.22)	47.78% ( -2.39)

Both teams to score 45.04% (

1.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.5% (

0.78)

59.5% (

-0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.14% (

0.59)

79.85% (

-0.6)

Curacao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.05% (

2.5)

39.94% (

-2.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.4% (

2.22)

76.6% (

-2.23)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75% (

-0.78)

25% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.34% (

-1.09)

59.65% (

1.08)

Score Analysis

Curacao 24.87%

Panama 47.77%

Draw 27.34%

Curacao	Draw	Panama
1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.15) Other @ 1.37% Total : 24.87%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.25) Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.34%	0-1 @ 13.84% ( -0.74) 0-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.73) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.45) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.21% Total : 47.77%