/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcurlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fpanlog.png)
-
Kenji Gorre
55'
-
Rangelo Janga
90'+5'
-
Edgar Joel Barcenas
29'
-
Cristian Martinez
44'
-
Jose Luis Rodriguez
77'
-
Michael Murillo
79'
Curacao vs Panama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F28%2Fpanama.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 47.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Curacao had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Curacao win it was 1-0 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
Result
Curacao
24.87%
▲
(+2.16)
Draw
27.35%
▲
(+0.23)
Panama
47.78%
▼
(-2.39)
Both Teams to Score:
45.04%
▲
(+1.44)
Goals
Over 2.5
40.5%
▲
(+0.78)
Under 2.5
59.5%
▼
(-0.79)
Over 3.5
20.14%
▲
(+0.60)
Under 3.5
79.85%
▼
(-0.60)
Over 4.5
8.42%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 4.5
91.58%
▼
(-0.35)
Curacao Goals
Over 0.5
60.05%
▲
(+2.51)
Under 0.5
39.94%
▼
(-2.51)
Over 1.5
23.4%
▲
(+2.23)
Under 1.5
76.6%
▼
(-2.23)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5
75%
▼
(-0.78)
Under 0.5
25%
▲
(+0.78)
Over 1.5
40.34%
▼
(-1.09)
Under 1.5
59.65%
▲
(+1.09)
Score analysis
Curacao
24.87%
Draw
27.34%
Panama
47.77%
Curacao
1-0
@
9.16%
▲
(+0.36)
2-1 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.48)
2-0 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.44)
3-1 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.26)
3-0 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 24.87%
2-1 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.48)
2-0 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.44)
3-1 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.26)
3-0 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 24.87%
Draw
1-1
@
12.7%
▲
(+0.21)
0-0 @ 9.99% ▼ (-0.30)
2-2 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.25)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.34%
0-0 @ 9.99% ▼ (-0.30)
2-2 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.25)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.34%
Panama
0-1
@
13.84%
▼
(-0.75)
0-2 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.74)
1-2 @ 8.81% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.46)
1-3 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.08)
0-4 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.20)
1-4 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 47.77%
0-2 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.74)
1-2 @ 8.81% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.46)
1-3 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.08)
0-4 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.20)
1-4 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 47.77%