Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Israel national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Semi-Finals
Mar 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Sammy Ofer Stadium
Iceland national football team

Israel
1 - 4
Iceland

Zahavi (31' pen.)
Zahavi (73')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gudmundsson (39', 83', 87'), Ingvi Traustason (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Israel and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Israel

All competitions
Last Game: Andorra 0-2 Israel
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group I StandingsPGDPTS
1Romania101122
2Switzerland101117
3Israel10015
4Belarus10-512
5Kosovo10011
6Andorra10-172

Iceland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Honduras 0-2 Iceland
Thursday, January 18 at 1am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Iceland win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
IsraelDrawIceland
49.94% (0.896 0.9)23.84% (-0.198 -0.2)26.22% (-0.698 -0.7)
Both teams to score 56.72% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.2% (0.341 0.34)44.8% (-0.341 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.84% (0.329 0.33)67.16% (-0.328 -0.33)
Israel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98% (0.482 0.48)18.02% (-0.481 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.1% (0.818 0.82)48.9% (-0.819 -0.82)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.357 -0.36)30.81% (0.358 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-0.42 -0.42)67.08% (0.42099999999999 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Israel 49.94%
    Iceland 26.22%
    Draw 23.84%
IsraelDrawIceland
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.061 0.06)
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.15% (0.132 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.119 0.12)
3-0 @ 4.66% (0.146 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 2% (0.093 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 49.94%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.85% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 26.22%

How you voted: Israel vs Iceland

Israel
54.2%
Draw
29.0%
Iceland
16.8%
155
Head to Head
Jun 13, 2022 7.45pm
League B
Iceland
2-2
Israel
Dagur Thorsteinsson (9'), Johann Helgason (60')
Arnar Haraldsson (68')
Leo Gretarsson (35' og.), Peretz (67')
Peretz (45+2'), Menachem (90+6')
> Preview
Jun 2, 2022 7.45pm
League B
Israel
2-2
Iceland
Abada (25'), Weissman (84')
Karzev (66')
Johann Helgason (42'), Sigurdsson (53')
Johann Helgason (17'), Bjarnason (79'), Sigurdsson (82')
> Preview