Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Romania had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.