Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Puskas Akademia Pancho Arena

Israel
1 - 2
Romania

Zahavi (2')
Vitor (37'), Baribo (83'), Zahavi (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Puscas (10'), Hagi (63')
Coman (71'), Ratiu (78')
Mihaila (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Israel and Romania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Israel

All competitions

Last Game: Israel 1-1 Switzerland
Wednesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	8	12	16
2	Romania	8	9	16
3	Israel	8	-1	12
4	Kosovo	8	1	10
5	Belarus	8	-7	6
6	Andorra	8	-14	2

Romania

All competitions

Last Game: Romania 4-0 Andorra
Sunday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	8	12	16
2	Romania	8	9	16
3	Israel	8	-1	12
4	Kosovo	8	1	10
5	Belarus	8	-7	6
6	Andorra	8	-14	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Romania had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Israel	Draw	Romania
38.76% ( -0.1)	27.06% ( -0.03)	34.18% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 50.54% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.24% (

0.13)

54.76% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.93% (

0.1)

76.07% (

-0.1)

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.49% (

27.51% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.99% (

63.01% (

-0)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.72% (

0.15)

30.28% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.54% (

0.17)

66.46% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Israel 38.76%

Romania 34.18%

Draw 27.06%

Israel	Draw	Romania
1-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 38.76%	1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.06%	0-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 34.18%