International Friendlies
England
Jun 7, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Wembley Stadium
Iceland
  • goal Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson 12'
  • yellowcard Sverrir Ingi Ingason 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 79'
  • yellowcard Kolbeinn Finnsson 81'

England vs Iceland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 3, 2024 7.45pm
England 3 - 0 Bosnia H'vina

Iceland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jan 18, 2024 1.00am
Honduras 0 - 2 Iceland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 69.78%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 12.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

England 69.78% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 18.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Iceland 12.18% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.23% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 40.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 37.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 62.96% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 19.81% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 80.18% ▲ (+0.03)

England Goals

Over 0.5 89.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 10.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 65.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 34.13% ▲ (+0.03)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5 56.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 43.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 19.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 80.03% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

England 69.77%
Draw 18.04%
Iceland 12.18%
England
2-0 @ 11.7%
1-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.64% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.8% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.25% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 69.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 18.04%
Iceland
0-1 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 12.18%

Head to Head

Nations League
England
Nov 18, 2020 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Wembley Stadium
Iceland
  • Kyle Walker 13' yellowcard
  • Declan Rice 20' goal
  • Mason Mount 24' goal
  • Phil Foden 80' goal
  • Phil Foden 84' goal
  • yellowcard Birkir Mar Saevarsson 11'
  • yellowcard Sverrir Ingi Ingason 49'
  • redcard Birkir Mar Saevarsson 54'
  • yellowcard Kari Arnason 73'
Nations League
Iceland
Sep 5, 2020 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Laugardalsvöllur
England
  • Sverrir Ingi Ingason 42' yellowcard
  • Sverrir Ingi Ingason 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Kyle Walker 33'
  • redcard Kyle Walker 71'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 90'
  • yellowcard Joe Gomez 90'+2'
European Championship
England
Jun 27, 2016 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stade de Nice
Iceland
  • Wayne Rooney 4' goal
  • Daniel Sturridge 47' yellowcard
  • goal Ragnar Sigurdsson 6'
  • goal Kolbeinn Sigthorsson 18'
  • yellowcard Gylfi Sigurdsson 38'
  • yellowcard Aron Gunnarsson 65'

Form Data

England 3 - 0 Bosnia H'vina
England 2 - 2 Belgium
England 0 - 1 Brazil
N. Macedonia 1 - 1 England
England 2 - 0 Malta
England 3 - 1 Italy
Ukraine 2 - 1 Iceland
Israel 1 - 4 Iceland
Honduras 0 - 2 Iceland
Guatemala 0 - 1 Iceland
Portugal 2 - 0 Iceland
Slovakia 4 - 2 Iceland