Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Brazil had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Brazil win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.