World Cup Qualifying - South America
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbralog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Farglog.png)
-
Gabriel Jesus
5'
-
Gabriel Jesus
5'
-
Raphinha
14'
-
Raphinha
14'
-
Carlos Augusto
33'
-
Carlos Augusto
33'
-
Joelinton
81'
-
Joelinton
81'
-
Nicolas Otamendi
63'
-
Nicolas Otamendi
63'
Brazil vs Argentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F47%2Fargentina.jpg)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F47%2Flionel-scaloni.jpg)
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F12%2Flionel-messi.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F46%2Flionel-messi_1.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 47.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Argentina had a probability of 26.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for an Argentina win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result
Brazil
47.77%
▼
(-1.56)
Draw
26.22%
▲
(+0.61)
Argentina
26.02%
▲
(+0.96)
Both Teams to Score:
49.12%
▼
(-0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.29%
▼
(-1.63)
Under 2.5
54.71%
▲
(+1.64)
Over 3.5
23.97%
▼
(-1.37)
Under 3.5
76.03%
▲
(+1.38)
Over 4.5
10.71%
▼
(-0.86)
Under 4.5
89.29%
▲
(+0.87)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5
77.09%
▼
(-1.38)
Under 0.5
22.91%
▲
(+1.38)
Over 1.5
43.33%
▼
(-2.07)
Under 1.5
56.68%
▲
(+2.07)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5
63.72%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
36.28%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
26.93%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
73.07%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Brazil
47.76%
Draw
26.21%
Argentina
26.02%
Brazil
1-0
@
12.24%
▲
(+0.27)
2-1 @ 9.15% ▼ (-0.19)
2-0 @ 9.02% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.29)
3-0 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.28)
3-2 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.15)
4-1 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.76%
2-1 @ 9.15% ▼ (-0.19)
2-0 @ 9.02% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.29)
3-0 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.28)
3-2 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.15)
4-1 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.76%
Draw
1-1
@
12.41%
▲
(+0.25)
0-0 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.52)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.21%
0-0 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.52)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.21%
Argentina
0-1
@
8.43%
▲
(+0.51)
1-2 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.25)
1-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 26.02%
1-2 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.25)
1-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 26.02%
Head to Head
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F47%2Fgabriel-jesus-raphinha.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F49%2Fneymar_2.JPG)