World Cup Qualifying - South America
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Alexis Mac Allister
35'
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Alexis Mac Allister
35'
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Lautaro Martinez
68'
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Lautaro Martinez
68'
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Cristian Romero
77'
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Cristian Romero
77'
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Exequiel Palacios
90'+2'
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Exequiel Palacios
90'+2'
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Manuel Ugarte
32'
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Manuel Ugarte
32'
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Ronald Araujo
41'
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Ronald Araujo
41'
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Jose Gimenez
67'
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Jose Gimenez
67'
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Mathias Olivera
79'
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Mathias Olivera
79'
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Darwin Nunez
87'
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Darwin Nunez
87'
Argentina vs Uruguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 73.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 8.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.39%) and 3-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result
Argentina
73.23%
▼
(-0.11)
Draw
18.3%
▲
(+0.40)
Uruguay
8.48%
▼
(-0.30)
Both Teams to Score:
36.17%
▼
(-2.22)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.97%
▼
(-2.41)
Under 2.5
52.03%
▲
(+2.41)
Over 3.5
26.24%
▼
(-2.12)
Under 3.5
73.76%
▲
(+2.12)
Over 4.5
12.15%
▼
(-1.40)
Under 4.5
87.85%
▲
(+1.40)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5
87.22%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 0.5
12.79%
▲
(+0.73)
Over 1.5
60.92%
▼
(-1.53)
Under 1.5
39.08%
▲
(+1.53)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5
41.48%
▼
(-2.18)
Under 0.5
58.52%
▲
(+2.18)
Over 1.5
10.12%
▼
(-1.22)
Under 1.5
89.88%
▲
(+1.21)
Score analysis
Argentina
73.22%
Draw
18.3%
Uruguay
8.48%
Argentina
2-0
@
15.82%
▲
(+0.63)
1-0 @ 15.39% ▲ (+1.03)
3-0 @ 10.85% ▲ (+0.13)
2-1 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.25)
3-1 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.34)
4-0 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.27)
5-0 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.21)
5-1 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 73.22%
1-0 @ 15.39% ▲ (+1.03)
3-0 @ 10.85% ▲ (+0.13)
2-1 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.25)
3-1 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.34)
4-0 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.27)
5-0 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.21)
5-1 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 73.22%
Draw
1-1
@
8.25%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.70)
2-2 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 18.3%
0-0 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.70)
2-2 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 18.3%
Uruguay
0-1
@
4.01%
▲
(+0.12)
1-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.16)
0-2 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 8.48%
1-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.16)
0-2 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 8.48%