England national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
Bosnia and Herzegovina national football team

England
3 - 0
Bosnia H'vina

Palmer (60' pen.), Alexander-Arnold (85'), Kane (89')
Guehi (29'), Branthwaite (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tahirovic (59'), Gazibegovic (64')

The Match

Match Report

England rally late to begin their Euro 2024 preparations with a 3-0 win over Bosnia-Herzegovina in Monday's friendly at St James' Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between England and Bosnia-Herzegovina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how England could line up for Monday's international friendly against Bosnia-Herzegovina.

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: England 2-2 Belgium
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 1-2 Ukraine
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 65.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 14.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for England in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for England.

Result
EnglandDrawBosnia-Herzegovina
65.49% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)19.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)14.71% (0.025 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.3% (-0.012 -0.01)42.7% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.9% (-0.012 -0.01)65.1% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.77% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)12.22% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.08% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)37.92% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.58% (0.025999999999996 0.03)41.42% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.07% (0.024000000000001 0.02)77.92% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    England 65.49%
    Bosnia-Herzegovina 14.71%
    Draw 19.79%
EnglandDrawBosnia-Herzegovina
2-0 @ 11.18%
1-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 4.12% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.63% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.73% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.53% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 65.49%
1-1 @ 9.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 19.79%
0-1 @ 4.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 4.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.97% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 14.71%

How you voted: England vs Bosnia H'vina

England
88.7%
Draw
7.7%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
3.6%
168
rhs 2.0


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