Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 76.08%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 7.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.76%) and 3-0 (11.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for France in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for France.