International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien
  • Randal Kolo 43' goal
  • Jonathan Clauss 70' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 85' goal
  • yellowcard Dirk Carlson 41'

France vs Luxembourg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 26, 2024 8.00pm
France 3 - 2 Chile

Luxembourg

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 76.08%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 7.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.76%) and 3-0 (11.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for France in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for France.

Result

France 76.08% (+4.62)
Draw 16.06% (-2.38)
Luxembourg 7.86% (-2.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.14% (-1.65)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.23% (+3.24)
Under 2.5 44.77% (-3.24)
Over 3.5 32.87% (+3.05)
Under 3.5 67.13% (-3.05)
Over 4.5 16.7% (+2.16)
Under 4.5 83.3% (-2.15)

France Goals

Over 0.5 89.99% (+2.11)
Under 0.5 10.01% (-2.11)
Over 1.5 66.96% (+4.65)
Under 1.5 33.04% (-4.65)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5 44.6% (-2.94)
Under 0.5 55.4% (+2.94)
Over 1.5 11.88% (-1.82)
Under 1.5 88.12% (+1.82)

Score analysis

France 76.07%
Draw 16.06%
Luxembourg 7.86%
France
2-0 @ 14.68% (+0.53)
1-0 @ 12.76% (-0.66)
3-0 @ 11.27% (+1.31)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.46)
3-1 @ 6.66% (+0.23)
4-0 @ 6.49% (+1.23)
4-1 @ 3.83% (+0.44)
5-0 @ 2.99% (+0.77)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.11)
5-1 @ 1.76% (+0.34)
6-0 @ 1.15% (-76.96)
4-2 @ 1.13% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 76.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.54% (-1.12)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.82)
2-2 @ 2.56% (-0.39)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 16.06%
Luxembourg
0-1 @ 3.27% (-0.83)
1-2 @ 2.23% (-0.57)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 7.86%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Sep 3, 2017 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Mar 25, 2017 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Aurelien Joachim 34' goal
  • goal Olivier Giroud 28'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 37'
  • goal Olivier Giroud 77'