Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 76.08%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 7.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.76%) and 3-0 (11.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for France in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for France.

Result
France	Draw	Luxembourg
76.08% ( 4.62)	16.06% ( -2.38)	7.86% ( -2.24)

Both teams to score 40.14% (

-1.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.23% (

3.24)

44.77% (

-3.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.87% (

3.05)

67.13% (

-3.04)

France Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.99% (

2.11)

10.01% (

-2.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.96% (

4.65)

33.04% (

-4.64)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.6% (

-2.94)

55.4% (

2.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.88% (

-1.81)

88.12% (

1.82)

Score Analysis

France 76.07%

Luxembourg 7.86%

Draw 16.06%

France	Draw	Luxembourg
2-0 @ 14.68% ( 0.53) 1-0 @ 12.76% ( -0.65) 3-0 @ 11.27% ( 1.31) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.23) 4-0 @ 6.49% ( 1.23) 4-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.44) 5-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.77) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.33) 6-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.37) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.73% Total : 76.07%	1-1 @ 7.54% ( -1.12) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.81) 2-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.39) Other @ 0.42% Total : 16.06%	0-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.83) 1-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.57) 0-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.36) Other @ 1.39% Total : 7.86%