International Friendlies
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-
Gerson Rodrigues
24'
-
Lars Gerson
41'
-
Danel Sinani
45'
-
Adilet Sadybekov
2'
-
Maksim Samorodov
54'
-
Erkin Tapalov
78'
-
Islam Chesnokov
82'
-
Abat Aymbetov
90'+2'
Luxembourg vs Kazakhstan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luxembourg would win this match.
Result
Luxembourg
56.54%
▲
(+0.71)
Draw
23.93%
▼
(-0.24)
Kazakhstan
19.53%
▼
(-0.48)
Both Teams to Score:
48.16%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.91%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 2.5
52.09%
▼
(-0.32)
Over 3.5
26.19%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 3.5
73.81%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 4.5
12.12%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 4.5
87.88%
▼
(-0.18)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5
81.74%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 0.5
18.26%
▼
(-0.39)
Over 1.5
50.69%
▲
(+0.65)
Under 1.5
49.3%
▼
(-0.65)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5
58.92%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 0.5
41.08%
▲
(+0.34)
Over 1.5
22.37%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 1.5
77.62%
▲
(+0.30)
Score analysis
Luxembourg
56.53%
Draw
23.93%
Kazakhstan
19.53%
Luxembourg
1-0
@
12.75%
2-0 @ 10.84% ▲ (+0.13)
2-1 @ 9.65% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.15)
3-1 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 56.53%
2-0 @ 10.84% ▲ (+0.13)
2-1 @ 9.65% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.15)
3-1 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 56.53%
Draw
1-1
@
11.34%
▼
(-0.11)
0-0 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.93%
0-0 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.93%
Kazakhstan
0-1
@
6.67%
▼
(-0.15)
1-2 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 19.53%
1-2 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 19.53%