Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 21, 2024 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
  • Anastasios Bakasetas 9' goal
  • Dimitris Pelkas 15' goal
  • Pantelis Hatzidiakos 30' yellowcard
  • Fotis Ioannidis 37' goal
  • Dimitrios Kourbelis 40' goal
  • Erkin Tapalov 86' goal
  • yellowcard Yan Vorogovskiy 17'
  • yellowcard Adilet Sadybekov 54'
  • yellowcard Ramazan Orazov 67'
  • yellowcard Temirlan Erlanov 68'

Greece vs Kazakhstan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece

All competitions

Kazakhstan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 72.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 9.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.93%) and 3-0 (10.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.

Result

Greece 72.66% (+0.72)
Draw 17.73% (-0.32)
Kazakhstan 9.61% (-0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.19% (-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.62% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 46.38% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 31.34% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 68.67% (-0.20)
Over 4.5 15.6% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 84.4% (-0.15)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5 88.67% (+0.26)
Under 0.5 11.33% (-0.26)
Over 1.5 64% (+0.55)
Under 1.5 36% (-0.55)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5 47.58% (-0.69)
Under 0.5 52.42% (+0.69)
Over 1.5 13.72% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 86.28% (+0.45)

Score analysis

Greece 72.65%
Draw 17.73%
Kazakhstan 9.62%
Greece
2-0 @ 14.08% (+0.17)
1-0 @ 12.93% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 10.22% (+0.23)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 6.6% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.57% (+0.18)
4-1 @ 3.6% (+0.05)
5-0 @ 2.43% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.57% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 72.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.35% (-0.16)
0-0 @ 5.94% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 2.94% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 17.73%
Kazakhstan
0-1 @ 3.84% (-0.12)
1-2 @ 2.7% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 1.24% (-0.07)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 9.62%