European Championship
Jun 21, 2024 5.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Olympiastadion Berlin
  • Krzysztof Piatek 30' goal
  • Bartosz Slisz 53' yellowcard
  • Jakub Moder 62' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 64' yellowcard
  • Wojciech Szczesny 77' yellowcard
  • goal Gernot Trauner 9'
  • yellowcard Patrick Wimmer 56'
  • goal Christoph Baumgartner 66'
  • yellowcard Marko Arnautovic 70'
  • goal Marko Arnautovic 78'

Poland vs Austria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions
European Championship
Last game
Jun 16, 2024 2.00pm
Poland 1 - 2 Netherlands

Austria

All competitions
European Championship
Last game
Jun 17, 2024 8.00pm
Austria 0 - 1 France

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Austria had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result

Poland 36.94% (-0.12)
Draw 26.95% (-0.04)
Austria 36.1% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.06% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.81% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 54.19% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 24.4% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 75.59% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 10.98% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 89.02% (-0.08)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5 71.71% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.29% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 35.99% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 64.01% (-0.01)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5 71.2% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 28.79% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 35.35% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 64.64% (-0.20)

Score analysis

Poland 36.94%
Draw 26.95%
Austria 36.1%
Poland
1-0 @ 10.28% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.12% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.95%
Austria
0-1 @ 10.14% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.97% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.31% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.31% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.62% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.09% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 36.1%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Sep 9, 2019 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mateusz Klich 85' yellowcard
  • Krystian Bielik 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marko Arnautovic 9'
  • yellowcard Marcel Sabitzer 33'
  • yellowcard Konrad Laimer 46'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 21, 2019 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Aleksandar Dragovic 51' yellowcard
  • David Alaba 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bartosz Bereszynski 54'
  • goal Krzysztof Piatek 69'

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups