European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Olympiastadion Berlin
Poland1 - 3Austria
FT(HT: 1-1)
The Match
Match Report
Austria keep their Euro 2024 hopes alive with a deserved 3-1 victory over Poland in Berlin, taking them joint top of Group D ahead of France facing Netherlands.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's European Championship clash between Poland and Austria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Poland could line up for Friday's Euro 2024 clash with Austria.
Form, Standings, Stats
European Championship
Last Game: Poland 1-2 Netherlands
Sunday, June 16 at 2pm in European Championship
Sunday, June 16 at 2pm in European Championship
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | France | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Austria | 1 | -1 | 0 |
European Championship
Last Game: Austria 0-1 France
Monday, June 17 at 8pm in European Championship
Monday, June 17 at 8pm in European Championship
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | France | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Austria | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Austria had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Poland | Draw | Austria |
36.94% ( -0.11) | 26.95% ( -0.04) | 36.1% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.06% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
