Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Austria had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.