UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Goztepe Gursel Aksel Stadi (Izmir)

Turkey
3 - 1
Iceland

Akturkoglu (2', 52', 88')
Kahveci (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Palsson (37')
Leo Gretarsson (44'), Teitur Thordarson (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Turkey and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Wales 0-0 Turkey
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	2	6
2	Turkey	3	0	6
3	Georgia	3	0	4
4	Czech Republic	3	-2	1

Iceland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Iceland 2-0 Montenegro
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	10	34	30
2	Slovakia	10	9	22
3	Luxembourg	10	-6	17
4	Iceland	10	1	10
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	10	-11	9
6	Liechtenstein	10	-27	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 17.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 1-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Iceland win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
Turkey	Draw	Iceland
61.76% ( -0.01)	20.41% ( 0.1)	17.82% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 56.43% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.43% (

-0.61)

39.56% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.08% (

-0.64)

61.91% (

0.63)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.67% (

-0.19)

12.32% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.87% (

-0.39)

38.12% (

0.39)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.36% (

-0.47)

35.63% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.59% (

-0.49)

72.4% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Turkey 61.76%

Iceland 17.82%

Draw 20.41%

Turkey	Draw	Iceland
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.52% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 61.76%	1-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.41%	1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 17.82%