UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Laugardalsvollur

Iceland
2 - 0
Montenegro

Oskarsson (39'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (58')
Berg Gudmundsson (18'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Radunovic (20'), Osmajic (24'), Erakovic (50'), Jovetic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Iceland and Montenegro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iceland

All competitions

Last Game: Netherlands 4-0 Iceland
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	10	34	30
2	Slovakia	10	9	22
3	Luxembourg	10	-6	17
4	Iceland	10	1	10
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	10	-11	9
6	Liechtenstein	10	-27	0

Montenegro

All competitions

Last Game: Montenegro 1-3 Georgia
Sunday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	8	9	18
2	Serbia	8	6	14
3	Montenegro	8	-2	11
4	Lithuania	8	-6	6
5	Bulgaria	8	-7	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iceland would win this match.

Result
Iceland	Draw	Montenegro
46.61% ( 0.05)	26.51% ( 0)	26.87% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 48.92% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.71% (

-0.06)

55.28% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.49% (

-0.05)

76.5% (

0.05)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.3%

23.7% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.18%

57.82% (

-0)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.12% (

-0.08)

35.88% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.34% (

-0.08)

72.65% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Iceland 46.61%

Montenegro 26.87%

Draw 26.5%

Iceland	Draw	Montenegro
1-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.03% 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 46.61%	1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 8.72% 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 26.87%