Iceland vs Montenegro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iceland would win this match.